Blog

March 18 , 2013 - Richard S. Davis

The Economist magazine looks to the states and finds policy innovation and growing economies.

This issue of The Economist has a look at the American economy. Offsetting the predictable despair over the antics and inaction in D.C. is a positive assessment of American entrepreneurs and the dynamism in the states, what they call the America that works. A couple of excerpts then I encourage you to RTWT. Pressed for […]


March 15 , 2013 - Richard S. Davis

State budget beginning to take shape amid uncertainty

  The House GOP released a “fund education first” budget proposal yesterday, adding a net $556 million in K-12 spending as a down payment on McCleary. (We always say “down payment” because the state Supreme Court expects considerably more by 2017. This is the year lawmakers have to show a good faith effort.) Here’s the […]


March 14 , 2013 - Richard S. Davis

Another day, another $300 million added to the state budget problem

The Caseload Forecast Council met this morning. Although the news generally was mixed-to-positive, the bottom line effect was bad news: Increased medical utilization costs added $301 million to maintenance-level costs. Here’s the worksheet for the two bienniashowing the detail. And here’s the Seattle Times report pegging the shortfall now at about $1.3 billion before making […]


March 13 , 2013 - Richard S. Davis

Handicapping the economy – mixed reviews ahead of the 3/20 state revenue forecast

Kriss has written (here and here) that the next state revenue forecast will likely come in below the November numbers, adding to the budget woes that will dominate the closing weeks of the legislative session. As has been the case through much of this frustrating semi-recovery, expectations continue to be mixed. Economist Mark Perry has […]


March 13 , 2013 - Richard S. Davis

The legislative education funding challenge: How do you solve a problem like McCleary?

My column in the current issue of AWB’s Washington Business considers the state budget problem. It was written weeks ago, but holds up I think. With next week’s revenue forecast likely to be down (and a new caseload forecast tomorrow apt to show increased costs), the challenge is a bit tougher than it looked in […]


March 12 , 2013 - Emily Makings

May Washington's public pension system never be this interesting . . .

“Pensions are complicated, and when they are not causing huge problems, they are boring.” I’ve mentioned that Josh Barro line before, and I probably will again, because it’s pure truth. These days, pensions are certainly not boring, as the situation in Illinois illustrates spectacularly. Yesterday, the Securities and Exchange Commission charged the state with securities […]


March 12 , 2013 - Richard S. Davis

State Senate sets city limits on Seattle sick live ordinance

Business groups opposing Seattle’s controversial paid sick leave ordinance won one yesterday, as the state Senate passed ESB 5276 on a strong bipartisan vote, 29-20. The city’s ordinance would have applied the rule to employers operating in the city, regardless of whether the firm was located within Seattle city limits.The Senate bill sets limits, city […]


March 06 , 2013 - Richard S. Davis

With supermajority for taxes out, what's next?

I take a stab at answering that in my column today. The crux: After 20 years, voters understand how the supermajority requirement works. If they want it in the constitution, they first must elect a Legislature that will place it on the ballot. They should begin by making it an issue in the 2014 campaign. […]


March 05 , 2013 - Richard S. Davis

Elway poll shows limited appetite for new transportation funding – the search continues

A new Elway Poll underscores the challenge facing legislators and the broad coalition working to fund essential transportation improvements in the state. The Seattle Times reports: A Stuart Elway poll of 412 registered voters found that 72 percent oppose a higher gas tax and 62 percent oppose an increase in the car tab. The poll has a margin […]


March 04 , 2013 - Richard S. Davis

Why state pension reforms are coming

Sunday’s Seattle Times carries an excellent analysis of the state pension system by reporter Drew DeSilver. The crux: An analysis by The Seattle Times suggests that the system’s promised benefits are much bigger, and its real assets smaller, than official numbers indicate. The analysis, using market-based data and methods, pegs the total gap between the […]