Blog

School districts in Washington have spent 52% of their federal relief money; of the amount spent, 44.5% is categorized as “indirect” or “other”

Last week the Seattle Times editorial board wrote about recent student test scores and asked why so much of the federal relief money for schools is still unspent. Further, it wrote, “It’s puzzling to examine school district spending choices so far.” There were three rounds of federal Elementary and Secondary School Emergency Relief (ESSER). Washington […]

Washington’s workers’ compensation benefit costs (the nation’s highest) are increasingly driven by supplemental pension fund COLAs

According to the National Academy of Social Insurance (NASI), Washington once again had the nation’s highest workers’ compensation benefit costs per covered worker in 2020. They were $824.53 in 2020 (up from $777.91 in 2019); the second-highest benefit costs per covered worker were $804.30 in Wyoming. (There is a two-year data lag.) As a percent […]

City of Seattle’s November revenue forecast shows weakened real estate excise tax expectations; year-over-year regular general fund revenues are about flat

The City of Seattle’s Office of Economic and Revenue Forecasts (OERF) presented its November revenue forecast on Wednesday. General fund revenues over the 2022 through 2024 period are now estimated to be down by a net of $9.4 million compared to the revenues anticipated in Mayor Harrell’s proposed 2023–24 budget. General fund revenues over that […]

A new forensic hospital may crowd out other 2023–25 capital budget spending

Appropriations from all funds in the 2021–23 capital budget (as amended by the 2022 supplemental) are 54.7% higher than in 2019–21. That’s the largest increase in capital budget spending going back to at least the mid-1990s. Bonds make up a significant percentage of capital budget resources; thus, the capital budget is constrained by the constitutional […]

Managing budget expectations

Last week, David Schumacher, the director of the Office of Financial Management (OFM), gave the Washington State Senior Citizens Foundation a preview of the upcoming budget cycle. He attempted to tamp down expectations of another big-spending year. This welcome reminder comes after agencies have submitted substantial operating budget requests for 2023–25 (my overview is here; […]

Some good news on long-term care program solvency

In 2020, after passage of Washington’s long-term care (LTC) program but before any premiums were assessed, Milliman prepared an actuarial study of the program for the state. It estimated that the statutory premium rate of 0.58% would “be insufficient to keep the program solvent for 75 years under the current law.” Given that and widespread […]

How the paid family and medical leave and long-term care payroll taxes will impact employees next year

As I wrote yesterday, the paid family and medical leave (PFML) premium will increase from 0.6% to 0.8% next year (including a solvency surcharge). The PFML premium is paid on wages up to the Social Security cap, which is increasing 9.0% next year to $160,200. Additionally, the state’s long-term care (LTC) program is scheduled to […]

Interest rates move higher

The quarterly forecast of state tax revenue prepared by the state Economic and Revenue Forecast Council (ERFC) is based upon an economic forecast also prepared by ERFC. In my September 21 post on the update to the revenue forecast, I observed that materials released earlier that day by the Federal Reserve Board’s Open Market Committee […]

Paid family and medical leave premium rate will increase to 0.8% next year

The Employment Security Department (ESD) has announced that the premium rate for the paid family and medical leave (PFML) program will be 0.8% in 2023. (The announcement was made at today’s meeting of the PFML advisory committee.) The current rate is 0.6%, which is the maximum base rate allowed by statute. The 0.8% rate includes […]

Compensation increases drive the community and technical college system’s budget request

The community and technical college system (CTCS) has requested a 2023–25 budget that would increase its general fund–state (GFS) spending by $622.9 million (39.5%). Compensation items account for 50.8% of the maintenance and policy level changes in the request. First, the request estimates that funding the Initiative 732 cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for the biennium would […]