Blog

February 18 , 2022 - WRC

New brief: Minimal Losses to Local Revenues in 2020 Are Largely Offset by Additional Federal Relief

Local government taxes and revenues were largely sustained in 2020. State taxes increased by 4.2% in FY 2020 and by 11.7% in FY 2021. Meanwhile, in CY 2020, taxes grew by 5.3% in Washington’s counties and fell by 2.9% in Washington’s cities. However, from 2010 through 2017, city tax growth exceeded that of the state. […]


February 02 , 2022 - WRC

New brief: A Surplus of $11.249 Billion: Gov. Inslee Would Increase Spending, but a Sustainable Budget Could Include Tax Reductions

We estimate that the state surplus in funds subject to the outlook (NGFO) is now $11.249 billion over four years. On top of that, the state has one-time funds: $1.0 billion in the Washington rescue plan transition account, $1.273 billion in general federal relief funds, and about $1.2 billion in the budget stabilization account. This […]


December 14 , 2021 - WRC

New brief: How Should the State Spend Its Substantial Surplus?

When the 2021–23 operating budget was enacted, it left an unrestricted ending balance for funds subject to the outlook (NGFO) of $83 million in 2023–25. With ever improving revenue forecasts and new, lower spending assumptions, we estimate that the unrestricted NGFO ending balance is now $8.649 billion. Additionally, the budget stabilization account (BSA, or the […]


October 14 , 2021 - WRC

New brief: Should Washington Be in the Long-Term Care Insurance Business?

Key dates for Washington’s long-term care insurance program—and its accompanying payroll tax—are fast approaching. Beginning Jan. 1, 2022, a payroll tax of 0.58% will be levied on every employee’s wages. The tax is expected to generate revenues of more than $1 billion a year. Long-term services and supports trust (LTSST) benefits will then be available […]


June 17 , 2021 - WRC

New economic profile: The Economic Contribution of Washington State’s Petroleum Refining Industry in 2019

We have updated our report on the impact of Washington’s five major petroleum refiners on the state’s economy. In 2019, the refiners directly provided 2,050 full-time jobs, paying an annual average wage of $148,683. In addition, the refiners employed, at high wages, 3,643 contract workers on an average day, doing maintenance, capital repair and capital […]


June 16 , 2021 - WRC

New brief: With No Budget Shortfall to Address, Legislature Spent Heavily and Potentially Created Budget Challenges for the Future

Although the state did not have a budget shortfall to address this year, the Legislature raised taxes (including a new capital gains tax) and drained the rainy day fund. It also significantly increased spending. The enacted 2021–23 operating budget (including vetoes) appropriates $59.067 billion from funds subject to the outlook, an increase of 12.4% over […]


April 19 , 2021 - WRC

New brief: Senate- and House-Passed Operating Budgets Would Needlessly Drain the Rainy Day Fund

The Senate and House have passed broadly similar operating budgets. Both would impose a capital gains tax. Both would increase spending from funds subject to the outlook (NGFO) by double digits in 2021–23. Both would appropriate billions of dollars in federal relief funds. Both would drain the rainy day fund. Across the 2021 supplemental and […]


March 22 , 2021 - WRC

New brief: State Revenues Are Back to Pre-Pandemic Levels

State revenues are now expected to match the pre-pandemic Feb. 2020 revenue forecast. Revenues in 2019–21 are now forecast to be $52.334 billion (an increase of 13.6% over 2017–19). In 2021–23, revenues are expected to grow by 8.2%, to $56.615 billion. In 2023–25, revenues are expected to grow by 5.8%, to $59.906 billion. Given the […]


February 12 , 2021 - WRC

New brief: Washington Does Not Have a Budget Shortfall

The state budget situation looked dire last summer. Since then, both the revenue and spending sides of the balance sheet have improved. Revenues in 2019–21 are expected to be 10.7% higher than in 2017–19 (following several biennia of extraordinary revenue growth). Enacted 2019–21 appropriations from funds subject to the outlook are 20.2% higher than 2017–19. […]


January 27 , 2021 - WRC

New brief: Taxing Captive Insurance

Captive insurers are insurance companies that are controlled by the company, group, public entity, or individual they insure. They can provide a less costly way to manage risk. Current law in Washington does not recognize captive insurers as a distinct form of self-insurance that is different from commercial insurance. The Office of the Insurance Commissioner […]